From Victoria Government
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Victoria's waste projection model

Created 26/06/2025

Updated 02/03/2026

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Since 2015–16, the Victorian Government has surveyed the recycling sector and compiled data from external sources to track Victoria’s statewide waste and resource recovery performance. This dashboard presents the results of the survey and data compilation and the results from Victoria’s waste projection model.

Victoria’s waste projection model estimates waste generation in Victoria 30 years into the future. The purpose of the model is to inform investment, planning and market needs for government and industry.

The data sources used to compile the statewide performance dataset include:

  • Victorian Recycling Industry Annual Survey
  • Australian Bureau of Statistics export data
  • National Plastics Survey data
  • Environment Protection Authority Victoria Landfill Levy statement data
  • Landfill composition audit data.

The statewide waste and resource recovery performance dataset describes waste generation and its fate within Victoria from 2015–16 to 2023–24.

Victoria’s waste projection model uses the statewide waste and resource recovery performance dataset and applies material type-specific projection factors (low, mid and high) to produce baseline projections of waste generation to the year 2053-54. The result of this projection is presented in the above dashboard.

Waste Projection model dashboard - https://www.vic.gov.au/victorias-waste-projection-model-dashboard

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Additional Info

Field Value
Title Victoria's waste projection model
Language English
Licence Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Australia
Landing Page https://data.gov.au/data/dataset/7d752f66-2e09-4fe5-886e-83f0982430e9
Remote Last Updated 07/02/2026
Contact Point
Recycling Victoria
contact@dpc.vic.gov.au
Reference Period 11/08/2023
Geospatial Coverage Victoria
Data Portal Victoria Government

Data Source

This dataset was originally found on Victoria Government "Victoria's waste projection model". Please visit the source to access the original metadata of the dataset:
https://discover.data.vic.gov.au/dataset/victorias-waste-projection-model