{"help": "https://data.gov.au/data/en/api/3/action/help_show?name=package_show", "success": true, "result": {"author": "Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics and Sciences", "author_email": null, "contact_point": "dataman@agriculture.gov.au", "creator_user_id": "82ceae41-fd4a-41d4-91c1-6f3a6bd8c92f", "duplicate_score": 1, "geospatial_topic": [], "id": "edf189dc-854c-4a1e-840e-b0b1befe5765", "isopen": false, "language": "English", "license_id": "cc-by-4.0", "license_title": "Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International", "license_url": "http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0", "maintainer": "abares_dataman", "maintainer_email": null, "metadata_created": "2018-09-26T00:18:25.007337", "metadata_modified": "2023-08-09T09:44:07.361977", "name": "pb_agcomd9abcc20180918_xv5mh-xml", "notes": "Overview  \r\n The September edition of Agricultural commodities contains ABARES latest outlook for Australia's key agricultural commodities in 2018-19, which updates the outlook released in June 2018. \r\n\r\nKey Issues \r\n\u2022 In 2018-19 the value of farm production is forecast to be relatively unchanged at $60 billion. \r\n\u2022 Dry conditions are affecting agricultural production in eastern Australia, but strong forecast production in Western Australia, rising grain prices, high livestock prices and a lower Australian dollar are providing support to farm incomes. \r\n\u2022 Export prices are forecast to increase by around 3% in 2018-19, driven by a decline in the global supply of grains and strong demand for meat products. \r\n\u2022 Downside risks to Australian agriculture include uncertainty around the duration of the drought in impacted areas, the timing and amount of rain in other regions, and possible disruption to world agricultural markets stemming from protectionist trade measures. \r\nCommodity production forecasts  \r\n\u2022 The value of crop production is forecast to decrease by 3 per cent to $30 billion in 2018-19. \u25e6 The decline is expected to be driven by a forecast decline in area planted in the eastern states. Drought conditions across eastern Australia restricted planting opportunities for crops, such as barley, canola and wheat. \r\n\u25e6 Higher forecast prices for canola, coarse grains, cotton and wheat are expected to mitigate the impact of lower crop volumes on the value of production. \r\n\u25e6 Wine grape and sugar production are forecast to rise as producing areas have been less affected by drought. The value of sugar production is nevertheless forecast to decline due to weak international prices. \r\n\u25e6 Horticultural production has increased following a warm winter, boosting production of a range of fruits and vegetables \r\n\r\n\u2022 The value of livestock production is forecast to increase by 2 per cent to $30 billion in 2018-19. \u25e6 Drought in the eastern states has increased cattle and sheep turn-off, lifting meat production and leading to a forecast reduction in herd size. \r\n\u25e6 Dairy production is forecast to increase, as processors continue to offer relatively high milk prices. However, the production response is likely to be dampened by increasing feed and fodder costs. \r\n\u25e6 Wool production is forecast to be lower, constrained by lower flock numbers and poor grazing conditions. \r\n\r\n\r\nCommodity export forecasts  \r\n\u2022 Export earnings for farm commodities are forecast to be $47 billion in 2018-19, down 5 per cent from $49 billion in 2017-18 \r\n\u2022 The decline in export earnings is largely due to lower exportable supplies of canola, coarse grains, pulses and wheat and increased domestic demand for grain. Agricultural export prices, measured by the index of unit export returns, are forecast to increase by 3% in 2018-19. \u25e6 Export earnings are forecast to decline in 2018-19 for canola (down 39 per cent), coarse grains (24 per cent), wheat (10 per cent), sugar (9 per cent), wool (2 per cent) and wine (1 per cent). Export earnings for beef and veal and live feeder/slaughter cattle are unchanged. \r\n\r\n\u2022 Export earnings are forecast to be supported by strong demand from Asia and advanced economies for Australian livestock and livestock products. Higher prices for wheat, coarse grains and cotton are also expected to support earnings. \u25e6 In 2018-19 export earnings are forecast to rise for lamb (up 17 per cent), rice (14 per cent), mutton (13 per cent), cotton (9 per cent), cheese (6 per cent) and rock lobster (3 per cent). \r\n\r\n\u2022 Export earnings for fisheries products are forecast to increase by 2 per cent in 2018-19 to $1.6 billion, after increasing by an estimated 10 per cent in 2017-18. \r\n\r\nAssumptions underlying this set of commodity forecasts  \r\n\r\n Forecasts of commodity production and exports are based on global and domestic demand and supply assumptions. \r\n\r\n\u2022 On the demand side, stronger world economic growth will translate to higher per person incomes in most of Australia's export markets, supporting stronger demand. \u25e6 World economic growth is assumed to be 3.9 per cent in 2018 and 2019. \r\n\u25e6 Economic growth in Australia is assumed to be 3.0 per cent in 2018-19. \r\n\u25e6 The Australian dollar is assumed to average US74 cents in 2018-19, lower than the assumed average of US78 cents in 2017-18. \r\n\r\n\u2022 On the supply side, Australian agricultural production prospects are assumed to be below average. \u25e6 Dry conditions are forecast to have significant implications for crop yields and livestock production cycles in the eastern states. \r\n\r\n Uncertainties that could affect agricultural commodity production and export growth include supply shocks in Australia or international markets (such as natural disasters, drought and disease outbreaks) or unexpected economic events that affect trade and economic growth. \r\n\r\nBoxes on agricultural issues  \r\n\r\nEvolving EU biodiesel policies \r\n\r\n\u2022 Proposed changes to the EU renewable fuels policy could increase demand for Australia's canola exports in the short to medium term. \r\n\u2022 Since 2010-11 the European Union has been the largest export market for Australian canola. Most canola is imported to produce renewable transport fuel. \r\n", "num_resources": 3, "num_tags": 57, "organization": {"id": "5a9f3a8e-2673-4c6e-be5b-e8f7287993c5", "name": "abares", "title": "Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics and Sciences", "type": "organization", "description": "The Australian Bureau of Agriculture and Resource Economics and Sciences (ABARES) is the science and economics research division of the Department of Agriculture and Water Resources.", "image_url": "2018-02-18-235753.917110ABARESstackedblack.png", "created": "2013-05-12T07:33:57.982323", "is_organization": true, "approval_status": "approved", "state": "active"}, "original_harvest_source": {"site_url": "https://data.gov.au/data/dataset/", "href": "https://data.gov.au/data/dataset/pb_agcomd9abcc20180918_xv5mh-xml", "title": "data.gov.au"}, "owner_org": "5a9f3a8e-2673-4c6e-be5b-e8f7287993c5", "private": false, "spatial": "{\"type\": \"Point\",\"coordinates\": [151.122622,-25.371968]}", "spatial_coverage": "Australia", "state": "active", "temporal_coverage_from": "2018-09-26 00:18:25", "title": "Agricultural commodities: September quarter 2018", "type": "dataset", "unpublished": false, "url": null, "version": null, "extras": [{"key": "contact_info", "value": "false"}, {"key": "data_state", "value": "inactive"}, {"key": "field_of_research", "value": "[]"}, {"key": "jurisdiction", "value": "Commonwealth of Australia"}, {"key": "update_freq", "value": "quarterly"}], "groups": [{"description": "Developing policy to regulate the purchase, sale or exchange of commodities. Monitoring the balance of trade, industry protection and subsidy schemes. Includes foreign and domestic activities, and liaison across jurisdictions to support trade agreement negotiations.\r\n\r\nIncludes components listed at http://agift.naa.gov.au/000014.htm", "display_name": "Trade", "id": "25780283-7622-4cbd-b254-efbcaa9a647d", "image_display_url": "", "name": "trade", "title": "Trade"}], "resources": [{"cache_last_updated": null, "cache_url": null, "created": "2018-09-26T00:35:08.475614", "datastore_active": false, "datastore_contains_all_records_of_source_file": false, "description": "KeyDocument 01 \r\n Full resolution copy of Agricultural commodities: September quarter 2018. (Revised volume of farm production, crop production and livestock production indexes as reported in table 'Major indicators of Australia's agriculture, fisheries and forestry sectors'. This table appears on p. 12 of the publication. ) ", "format": "PDF", "hash": "", "id": "69fab89b-003a-47b1-84d7-fa72a9fbd832", "last_modified": "2018-09-18T00:00:00", "metadata_modified": "2023-08-09T09:44:07.370162", "mimetype": "application/pdf", "mimetype_inner": null, "name": "Agricultural commodities: September quarter 2018 - Report (Revised: 24/09/2018)", "package_id": "edf189dc-854c-4a1e-840e-b0b1befe5765", "position": 0, "resource_type": null, "size": null, "state": "active", "url": "http://data.daff.gov.au/data/warehouse/agcomd9abcc004/agcomd9abcc20180918_xV5mH/AgCommodities201809_v1.0.0.pdf", "url_type": null, "wms_layer": "", "zip_extract": false}, {"cache_last_updated": null, "cache_url": null, "created": "2018-09-26T00:38:08.688606", "datastore_active": false, "datastore_contains_all_records_of_source_file": false, "description": "GeneralDownLoad 01 \r\n Lower resolution copy of Agricultural commodities: September quarter 2018. (Revised volume of farm production, crop production and livestock production indexes as reported in table 'Major indicators of Australia's agriculture, fisheries and forestry sectors'. This table appears on p. 12 of the publication. ) ", "format": "PDF", "hash": "", "id": "631bc3ea-2a9f-4f5e-a970-841b9e557d14", "last_modified": "2018-09-18T00:00:00", "metadata_modified": "2023-08-09T09:44:07.370280", "mimetype": "application/pdf", "mimetype_inner": null, "name": "Agricultural commodities: September quarter 2018 - Report with lower resolution images (Revised: 24/09/2018)", "package_id": "edf189dc-854c-4a1e-840e-b0b1befe5765", "position": 1, "resource_type": null, "size": null, "state": "active", "url": "http://data.daff.gov.au/data/warehouse/agcomd9abcc004/agcomd9abcc20180918_xV5mH/AgCommodities201809_v1.0.0_lr.pdf", "url_type": null, "wms_layer": "", "zip_extract": false}, {"cache_last_updated": null, "cache_url": null, "created": "2018-09-26T00:39:50.019404", "datastore_active": false, "datastore_contains_all_records_of_source_file": false, "description": "Metadata in ISO 19139 format\r\n", "format": "XML", "hash": "", "id": "bf1972bb-ed06-42ea-8ed3-d2e9712820e2", "last_modified": "2018-09-18T00:00:00", "metadata_modified": "2023-08-09T09:44:07.370381", "mimetype": "text/xml", "mimetype_inner": null, "name": "Authoritative descriptive metadata for: Agricultural commodities: September quarter 2018", "package_id": "edf189dc-854c-4a1e-840e-b0b1befe5765", "position": 2, "resource_type": null, "size": null, "state": "active", "url": "http://data.daff.gov.au/anrdl/metadata_files/pb_agcomd9abcc20180918_xV5mH.xml", "url_type": null, "wms_layer": "", "zip_extract": false}], "tags": [{"display_name": "AGRICULTURE", "id": "400dacce-bd5a-470c-9adf-d18b0caa700f", "name": "AGRICULTURE", "state": "active", "vocabulary_id": null}, {"display_name": "AGRICULTURE Crops", "id": "fe07ac9b-a95f-47cb-b038-a899fd9b588e", "name": "AGRICULTURE Crops", "state": "active", "vocabulary_id": null}, {"display_name": "AGRICULTURE Livestock", "id": "8b9958f0-768c-4d6a-8598-ea3cf19c2dca", "name": "AGRICULTURE Livestock", "state": "active", "vocabulary_id": null}, {"display_name": "AGRICULTURE statistics", "id": "9e4f6bfd-270c-48b2-9e9e-927ae46023e3", "name": "AGRICULTURE statistics", "state": "active", "vocabulary_id": null}, {"display_name": "Australia", "id": "63fd0e40-eb1e-4442-8136-1d41a51e6175", "name": "Australia", "state": "active", "vocabulary_id": null}, {"display_name": "China", "id": "2f298f86-0c85-4dc2-b505-d675094a840f", "name": "China", "state": "active", "vocabulary_id": null}, {"display_name": "FISHERIES", "id": "a0e49bbe-4da9-4934-a916-970d9041ebde", "name": "FISHERIES", "state": "active", "vocabulary_id": null}, {"display_name": "FISHERIES production", "id": "ff45f39d-caec-4672-be7b-eeebe726aa12", "name": "FISHERIES production", "state": "active", "vocabulary_id": null}, {"display_name": "FISHERIES statistics", "id": "00f3865e-930d-4a99-81df-514d2d3d1b1f", "name": "FISHERIES statistics", "state": "active", "vocabulary_id": null}, {"display_name": "FORESTS", "id": "b925f944-bfce-4224-be2d-699ae140db66", "name": "FORESTS", "state": "active", "vocabulary_id": null}, {"display_name": "FORESTS production", "id": "5b87f0e4-c5fd-498d-b1d3-5ad5609e5438", "name": "FORESTS production", "state": "active", "vocabulary_id": null}, {"display_name": "FORESTS statistics", "id": "ada39d18-6a6b-4d6c-92f5-4f78cdb39371", "name": "FORESTS statistics", "state": "active", "vocabulary_id": null}, {"display_name": "Farming", "id": "da5d7fd4-f14a-4915-92a1-8c280f4e5773", "name": "Farming", "state": "active", "vocabulary_id": "a816ae97-790d-452d-8224-3e29747fb38a"}, {"display_name": "INDUSTRY", "id": "fdab5c0a-a543-4c3a-accf-2d5746974627", "name": "INDUSTRY", "state": "active", "vocabulary_id": null}, {"display_name": "INDUSTRY Primary", "id": "f41125fe-2c8f-4268-bf7f-d881791b7ac5", "name": "INDUSTRY Primary", "state": "active", "vocabulary_id": null}, {"display_name": "INDUSTRY Primary statistics", "id": "0f969922-80ce-4be7-8092-4ff5f509a5a7", "name": "INDUSTRY Primary statistics", "state": "active", "vocabulary_id": null}, {"display_name": "Peru FTA", "id": "2d9e28ff-f59b-45d1-8349-3b4295b3d88d", "name": "Peru FTA", "state": "active", "vocabulary_id": null}, {"display_name": "agriculture", "id": "6b23808d-d3f4-4027-bcd2-0931fada0009", "name": "agriculture", "state": "active", "vocabulary_id": null}, {"display_name": "barley", "id": "cb9c909f-ffc6-414f-914f-1b40833af60d", "name": "barley", "state": "active", "vocabulary_id": null}, {"display_name": "beef", "id": "7bdbfa3a-d953-40dd-b4c6-0198e30fb586", "name": "beef", "state": "active", "vocabulary_id": null}, {"display_name": "canola", "id": "a4192d28-c523-4b7e-9860-c239c6b78e1a", "name": "canola", "state": "active", "vocabulary_id": null}, {"display_name": "chicken", "id": "252349b5-3481-49f0-b12e-2070cd17dcd6", "name": "chicken", "state": "active", "vocabulary_id": null}, {"display_name": "chickpeas", "id": "4499c7b8-718f-4c0b-99a7-f24238c8f5f6", "name": "chickpeas", "state": "active", "vocabulary_id": null}, {"display_name": "climatic conditions", "id": "8eaf0d34-fa8a-488f-a589-4d32a0a39867", "name": "climatic conditions", "state": "active", "vocabulary_id": null}, {"display_name": "commodities", "id": "bed06411-3544-477a-8d81-1dd19db5eee9", "name": "commodities", "state": "active", "vocabulary_id": null}, {"display_name": "cotton", "id": "2e8a97d9-b9e6-4e1a-ad54-b0e301664b47", "name": "cotton", "state": "active", "vocabulary_id": null}, {"display_name": "crop planting", "id": "4765260c-236d-40dd-a347-8a55cefcd6d2", "name": "crop planting", "state": "active", "vocabulary_id": null}, {"display_name": "crops", "id": "c2b3d431-7e9d-448f-8eb2-0137e83e1757", "name": "crops", "state": "active", "vocabulary_id": null}, {"display_name": "dairy", "id": "6abf9b9c-4a8f-41bf-a3e9-6b834a0ff30f", "name": "dairy", "state": "active", "vocabulary_id": null}, {"display_name": "exchange rate", "id": "93854254-2698-4f1b-b1d3-2ca422cb70ee", "name": "exchange rate", "state": "active", "vocabulary_id": null}, {"display_name": "exports", "id": "9b24b421-5e1f-4315-aa36-c4514e50a494", "name": "exports", "state": "active", "vocabulary_id": null}, {"display_name": "fish", "id": "80b641d1-43b1-4053-8c97-9bed1a48891f", "name": "fish", "state": "active", "vocabulary_id": null}, {"display_name": "fisheries", "id": "84da9c9c-d589-401c-b677-a2f4a6fcde62", "name": "fisheries", "state": "active", "vocabulary_id": null}, {"display_name": "forest products", "id": "1ad922bb-46ad-4a50-acbe-c3c75e0901be", "name": "forest products", "state": "active", "vocabulary_id": null}, {"display_name": "goat meat", "id": "c5d4595a-4e00-4919-a6e2-693161ffca46", "name": "goat meat", "state": "active", "vocabulary_id": null}, {"display_name": "grains", "id": "884077b2-7dbd-4c0c-9573-1c504187afc3", "name": "grains", "state": "active", "vocabulary_id": null}, {"display_name": "horticulture", "id": "d9fb3e91-9eeb-4ad9-a0a0-aa81d0e0539b", "name": "horticulture", "state": "active", "vocabulary_id": null}, {"display_name": "imports", "id": "d5110d0b-bef2-46b1-998c-6232bba290d6", "name": "imports", "state": "active", "vocabulary_id": null}, {"display_name": "livestock", "id": "a2a688f4-3793-45ff-bc32-b5cbec6f4c0a", "name": "livestock", "state": "active", "vocabulary_id": null}, {"display_name": "livestock production", "id": "4c9fae3f-76ab-4d4d-a729-9543c2b384c0", "name": "livestock production", "state": "active", "vocabulary_id": null}, {"display_name": "lupins", "id": "f44d2f8b-2072-43df-b41d-0ac6cd0c152b", "name": "lupins", "state": "active", "vocabulary_id": null}, {"display_name": "macroeconomic", "id": "e0f23875-d594-4b05-8bb8-be2567a44845", "name": "macroeconomic", "state": "active", "vocabulary_id": null}, {"display_name": "march", "id": "ced673f3-3693-43e6-87be-a063fd8a351b", "name": "march", "state": "active", "vocabulary_id": null}, {"display_name": "oilseeds", "id": "ad6debe5-7b8f-4249-8d9d-cdac0ba22275", "name": "oilseeds", "state": "active", "vocabulary_id": null}, {"display_name": "pigmeat", "id": "cdc678b1-f0d0-4a6e-8da1-5d7c3c60304e", "name": "pigmeat", "state": "active", "vocabulary_id": null}, {"display_name": "pork", "id": "6788beaa-7af3-4a2f-9ee5-e16a0da2e43f", "name": "pork", "state": "active", "vocabulary_id": null}, {"display_name": "poultry", "id": "c056d832-4071-4a90-8854-177fb11c1f0c", "name": "poultry", "state": "active", "vocabulary_id": null}, {"display_name": "production", "id": "34389d7a-6f7d-4868-be37-6fe6d382a959", "name": "production", "state": "active", "vocabulary_id": null}, {"display_name": "rice", "id": "42cdcdda-6c1b-4c32-9641-95aedeb5612a", "name": "rice", "state": "active", "vocabulary_id": null}, {"display_name": "sheep", "id": "f2f98c7b-bedf-4747-847f-b6507743dc63", "name": "sheep", "state": "active", "vocabulary_id": null}, {"display_name": "sheepmeat", "id": "bb7f0469-85e0-47eb-8e59-71d2126a2c2b", "name": "sheepmeat", "state": "active", "vocabulary_id": null}, {"display_name": "sorghum", "id": "cc742848-1fb7-4e92-b2e3-6d5f9d384107", "name": "sorghum", "state": "active", "vocabulary_id": null}, {"display_name": "value", "id": "f02b020b-5628-44c1-bc5d-88f8fe521102", "name": "value", "state": "active", "vocabulary_id": null}, {"display_name": "veal", "id": "d0aa7687-5122-4455-b63d-5db56f2dff78", "name": "veal", "state": "active", "vocabulary_id": null}, {"display_name": "wheat", "id": "01620fa8-0ba5-4f88-85e3-477ccc48ff1f", "name": "wheat", "state": "active", "vocabulary_id": null}, {"display_name": "wine", "id": "b3a2c50d-3842-41e3-a06a-5fafe3782e0c", "name": "wine", "state": "active", "vocabulary_id": null}, {"display_name": "wool", "id": "ddc50375-c4a4-4820-8c79-bfc13f442aef", "name": "wool", "state": "active", "vocabulary_id": null}], "relationships_as_subject": [], "relationships_as_object": []}}